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Abstract(s)
O presente estudo investiga os efeitos que os determinantes do preço do imobiliário identificados na literatura (Produto Interno Bruto, Taxa de Juro, Turismo, Custo de Construção e Número de Fogos Licenciados em construções novas para habitação familiar) têm no Preço da Habitação, em Portugal, no período de 2011 a 2020, por NUTS 3.
Recolheram-se dados do Instituto Nacional de Estatística (INE) e usou-se o método OLS para estimar os coeficientes dos indicadores considerados como determinantes do Preço da Habitação.
Este método evidenciou que o PIB, a Taxa de Juro, os Custos de Construção e o Número de Fogos Licenciados impulsionaram o aumento dos Preços da Habitação, em Portugal, nesse período, enquanto o Turismo pressionou tais preços para descer. Todos os determinantes do Preço da Habitação mostraram-se significativos.
Com este estudo, espera-se que as previsões da evolução dos Preços da Habitação sejam mais efetivas e mais completas através do conhecimento de como se comportam os preços em reação a alterações nos valores dos seus determinantes, de modo a que, os agentes do mercado possam atuar em conformidade e preventivamente.
This study researches the effects of determinants on Houses’ Price identified on literature (Gross Domestic Product, Interest Rate, Tourism, Construction Cost and Number of Licensed Houses in new constructions for family housing), on Houses’ Price, in Portugal, from 2011 to 2020, for NUTS 3. Data was collected from Statistics Portugal (SP), and it was used OLS method to estimate the coefficients of the indicators considered as determinants of the Housing Price. This method highlighted that GDP, Interest rate, Construction Cost and Number of Licensed Apartments in new constructions for family housing, promoted the rise of the houses’ prices, in Portugal, in the time considered, while Tourism did the opposite. All determinants of the Houses’ Prices were considered significant. This study aims to help predict and make it more effective and complete the House Price evolution through the knowledge on how determinants behave when the value of their determinants is altered, so that the stakeholders can act accordingly and preventively.
This study researches the effects of determinants on Houses’ Price identified on literature (Gross Domestic Product, Interest Rate, Tourism, Construction Cost and Number of Licensed Houses in new constructions for family housing), on Houses’ Price, in Portugal, from 2011 to 2020, for NUTS 3. Data was collected from Statistics Portugal (SP), and it was used OLS method to estimate the coefficients of the indicators considered as determinants of the Housing Price. This method highlighted that GDP, Interest rate, Construction Cost and Number of Licensed Apartments in new constructions for family housing, promoted the rise of the houses’ prices, in Portugal, in the time considered, while Tourism did the opposite. All determinants of the Houses’ Prices were considered significant. This study aims to help predict and make it more effective and complete the House Price evolution through the knowledge on how determinants behave when the value of their determinants is altered, so that the stakeholders can act accordingly and preventively.
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Keywords
Determinantes do Preço da Habitação PIB Taxa de Juro Custos de Construção Número de Fogos Licenciados Turismo House Price determinants GDP Interest Rates Construction Costs Number of License