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The influence of COVID-19 on the hospital supply chain – the case of portuguese NHS

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dc.contributor.authorSequeiros, José
dc.contributor.authorPereira, Maria Teresa Ribeiro
dc.contributor.authorOliveira, Marisa
dc.contributor.authorFerreira, Fernanda A.
dc.date.accessioned2022-06-27T09:39:28Z
dc.date.available2022-06-27T09:39:28Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.description.abstractAvailable studies and reports, as well as real-time experiences, attest to profound, extensive, long-lasting effects on the supply chain caused by the pandemic. It is thus paramount to rethink the supply chain for medication and health care supplies to build a more resilient and adaptable management process. Data obtained from the NHS portal monthly reports from January 2017 to August 2020 – indicates that at the hospital level the impact was felt the most on the scheduling of medical appointments and prescriptions. Two forecasting methods were selected for this study: Simple Linear Regression and Holt-Winters with the trend and additive seasonality. There was a change in the behavior of hospital patients in the first year of COVID-19 pandemics. This change was shown in two main indicators, the number of hospital consultations and medication expenses. This changed behavior resulted in a decrease in demand for scheduled hospital services, 1.9M less than would be expected under normal conditions, and a foreseeable increase of €432M in the consumption of medicines in the last quarter of 2020, €103M more than in the same period. from the previous year.pt_PT
dc.description.sponsorshipThis work is funded by the European Regional Development Fund through the Regional Operational Program North 2020, within the scope of Project GreenHealth-Digital strategies in biological assets to improve well-being and promote green health, Norte-01-0145-FEDER-000042. The authors are grateful to the FCT Portugal for financial support by national funds FCT/MCTES to UNIAG, under Project no. UIDB/04752/2020.
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/978-3-031-09360-9_25pt_PT
dc.identifier.isbn978-3-031-09359-3
dc.identifier.isbn978-3-031-09360-9
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.22/20650
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.relationNorte-01-0145-FEDER-000042
dc.relationUIDB/04752/2020
dc.subjectCOVID-19pt_PT
dc.subjectSupply chainpt_PT
dc.subjectConsumer behaviorpt_PT
dc.subjectForecast methodspt_PT
dc.titleThe influence of COVID-19 on the hospital supply chain – the case of portuguese NHSpt_PT
dc.typeconference object
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceGuimarães, Portugalpt_PT
oaire.citation.endPage315pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage305pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleICIENG: International Conference Innovation in Engineering 2022: Innovations in Mechanical Engineering IIpt_PT
person.familyNameRibeiro Pereira
person.familyNameFerreira
person.givenNameMaria Teresa
person.givenNameFernanda A.
person.identifierU-2265-2018
person.identifierR-000-4TV
person.identifier.ciencia-id7A16-77DE-410A
person.identifier.ciencia-idD116-9419-5778
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-4556-9578
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-1335-7821
person.identifier.ridN-4563-2013
person.identifier.scopus-author-id56624034400
person.identifier.scopus-author-id24723992800
rcaap.rightsclosedAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typeconferenceObjectpt_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublication3f7f1146-378f-4f1d-80ba-d499f3bd114b
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationaaa18584-508e-46b1-9b50-4e174c0e142c
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery3f7f1146-378f-4f1d-80ba-d499f3bd114b

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ESHT - DSIM - Comunicações em eventos científicos