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Analysis of temperature time-series: embedding dynamics into the MDS method

dc.contributor.authorLopes, António M.
dc.contributor.authorMachado, J. A. Tenreiro
dc.date.accessioned2014-02-06T15:07:40Z
dc.date.available2014-02-06T15:07:40Z
dc.date.issued2014
dc.description.abstractGlobal warming and the associated climate changes are being the subject of intensive research due to their major impact on social, economic and health aspects of the human life. Surface temperature time-series characterise Earth as a slow dynamics spatiotemporal system, evidencing long memory behaviour, typical of fractional order systems. Such phenomena are difficult to model and analyse, demanding for alternative approaches. This paper studies the complex correlations between global temperature time-series using the Multidimensional scaling (MDS) approach. MDS provides a graphical representation of the pattern of climatic similarities between regions around the globe. The similarities are quantified through two mathematical indices that correlate the monthly average temperatures observed in meteorological stations, over a given period of time. Furthermore, time dynamics is analysed by performing the MDS analysis over slices sampling the time series. MDS generates maps describing the stations’ locus in the perspective that, if they are perceived to be similar to each other, then they are placed on the map forming clusters. We show that MDS provides an intuitive and useful visual representation of the complex relationships that are present among temperature time-series, which are not perceived on traditional geographic maps. Moreover, MDS avoids sensitivity to the irregular distribution density of the meteorological stations.por
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.cnsns.2013.08.031pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn1007-5704
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.22/3746
dc.language.isoengpor
dc.peerreviewedyespor
dc.publisherElsevierpor
dc.relation.ispartofseriesCommunications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation; Vol. 19, Issue 4
dc.relation.publisherversionhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S100757041300381Xpor
dc.subjectComplex systemspor
dc.subjectTemperature time-seriespor
dc.subjectMultidimensional scalingpor
dc.subjectGlobal warmingpor
dc.titleAnalysis of temperature time-series: embedding dynamics into the MDS methodpor
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage871por
oaire.citation.issueIssue 4por
oaire.citation.startPage851por
oaire.citation.titleCommunications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulationpor
oaire.citation.volumeVol. 19por
person.familyNameTenreiro Machado
person.givenNameJ. A.
person.identifier.ciencia-id7A18-4935-5B29
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-4274-4879
person.identifier.ridM-2173-2013
person.identifier.scopus-author-id55989030100
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspor
rcaap.typearticlepor
relation.isAuthorOfPublication82cd5c17-07b6-492b-b3e3-ecebdad1254f
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery82cd5c17-07b6-492b-b3e3-ecebdad1254f

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