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Power Law Behavior and Self-similarity in Modern Industrial Accidents

dc.contributor.authorLopes, António M.
dc.contributor.authorMachado, J.A.Tenreiro
dc.date.accessioned2015-11-19T12:39:49Z
dc.date.available2015-11-19T12:39:49Z
dc.date.issued2015
dc.description.abstractAdvances in technology have produced more and more intricate industrial systems, such as nuclear power plants, chemical centers and petroleum platforms. Such complex plants exhibit multiple interactions among smaller units and human operators, rising potentially disastrous failure, which can propagate across subsystem boundaries. This paper analyzes industrial accident data-series in the perspective of statistical physics and dynamical systems. Global data is collected from the Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT) during the time period from year 1903 up to 2012. The statistical distributions of the number of fatalities caused by industrial accidents reveal Power Law (PL) behavior. We analyze the evolution of the PL parameters over time and observe a remarkable increment in the PL exponent during the last years. PL behavior allows prediction by extrapolation over a wide range of scales. In a complementary line of thought, we compare the data using appropriate indices and use different visualization techniques to correlate and to extract relationships among industrial accident events. This study contributes to better understand the complexity of modern industrial accidents and their ruling principles.pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1142/S0218127415500042pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.22/6941
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.relation.ispartofseriesInternational Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos;Vol. 25, Issue 1
dc.relation.publisherversionhttp://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S0218127415500042pt_PT
dc.subjectComplex systemspt_PT
dc.subjectPower lawspt_PT
dc.subjectAccident data-seriespt_PT
dc.subjectData visualizationpt_PT
dc.titlePower Law Behavior and Self-similarity in Modern Industrial Accidentspt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.titleInternational Journal of Bifurcation and Chaospt_PT
oaire.citation.volume25pt_PT
person.familyNameTenreiro Machado
person.givenNameJ. A.
person.identifier.ciencia-id7A18-4935-5B29
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-4274-4879
person.identifier.ridM-2173-2013
person.identifier.scopus-author-id55989030100
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublication82cd5c17-07b6-492b-b3e3-ecebdad1254f
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery82cd5c17-07b6-492b-b3e3-ecebdad1254f

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