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Identifying economic periods and crisis with the multidimensional scaling

dc.contributor.authorMachado, J. A. Tenreiro
dc.contributor.authorDuarte, Gonçalo Monteiro
dc.contributor.authorDuarte, Fernando B.
dc.date.accessioned2014-03-06T16:07:41Z
dc.date.available2014-03-06T16:07:41Z
dc.date.issued2011
dc.description.abstractThis paper applied MDS and Fourier transform to analyze different periods of the business cycle. With such purpose, four important stock market indexes (Dow Jones, Nasdaq, NYSE, S&P500) were studied over time. The analysis under the lens of the Fourier transform showed that the indexes have characteristics similar to those of fractional noise. By the other side, the analysis under the MDS lens identified patterns in the stock markets specific to each economic expansion period. Although the identification of patterns characteristic to each expansion period is interesting to practitioners (even if only in a posteriori fashion), further research should explore the meaning of such regularities and target to find a method to estimate future crisis.por
dc.identifierDOI 10.1007/s11071-010-9823-2
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11071-010-9823-2pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn0924-090X
dc.identifier.issn1573-269X
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.22/4145
dc.language.isoengpor
dc.peerreviewedyespor
dc.publisherSpringerpor
dc.relation.ispartofseriesNonlinear Dynamics; Vol. 63, Issue 4
dc.relation.publisherversionhttp://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11071-010-9823-2por
dc.subjectMultidimensional scalingpor
dc.subjectFractional calculuspor
dc.subjectFourier transformpor
dc.subjectEconomic cyclepor
dc.titleIdentifying economic periods and crisis with the multidimensional scalingpor
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage622por
oaire.citation.issueIssue 4por
oaire.citation.startPage611por
oaire.citation.titleNonlinear Dynamicspor
oaire.citation.volumeVol. 63por
person.familyNameTenreiro Machado
person.givenNameJ. A.
person.identifier.ciencia-id7A18-4935-5B29
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-4274-4879
person.identifier.ridM-2173-2013
person.identifier.scopus-author-id55989030100
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspor
rcaap.typearticlepor
relation.isAuthorOfPublication82cd5c17-07b6-492b-b3e3-ecebdad1254f
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery82cd5c17-07b6-492b-b3e3-ecebdad1254f

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