Browsing by Author "Freitas, Carlos J. Pereira"
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- Central termoeléctrica a biomassa florestal (CTBF)Publication . Freitas, Carlos J. PereiraO trabalho de avaliação de projecto de investimento que apresentamos é constituído por duas peças de análise: - O presente relatório, onde é feito um enquadramento do projecto e do mercado onde ele se insere, onde são descritos os pressupostos assumidos na avaliação, as metodologias de avaliação seguidas e a análise dos resultados a que a avaliação conduz. - Uma folha de calculo, fornecida em formato digital (“CTBF_Modelo Avaliacao_Caso Base_v02.xls”), onde se desenvolve o Modelo de Avaliação Económico, designado de “Caso Base”, e onde se procedeu ao calculo dos vários indicadores da avaliação, sendo possível simular os efeitos de alterações nos vários inputs do modelo. Toda a análise é desenvolvida a preços correntes e os valores apresentados estão em todos os casos líquidos de IVA.
- European Union emissions trading scheme impact on the Spanish electricity price during phase II and phase III implementationPublication . Freitas, Carlos J. Pereira; Silva, Patrícia Pereira daThe European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) is a cornerstone of the European Union's policy to combat climate change and its key tool for reducing industrial greenhouse gas emissions cost-effectively. The purpose of the present work is to evaluate the influence of CO2 opportunity cost on the Spanish wholesale electricity price. Our sample includes all Phase II of the EU ETS and the first year of Phase III implementation, from January 2008 to December 2013. A vector error correction model (VECM) is applied to estimate not only long-run equilibrium relations, but also short-run interactions between the electricity price and the fuel (natural gas and coal) and carbon prices. The four commodities prices are modeled as joint endogenous variables with air temperature and renewable energy as exogenous variables. We found a long-run relationship (cointegration) between electricity price, carbon price, and fuel prices. By estimating the dynamic pass-through of carbon price into electricity price for different periods of our sample, it is possible to observe the weakening of the link between carbon and electricity prices as a result from the collapse on CO2 prices, therefore compromising the efficacy of the system to reach proposed environmental goals. This conclusion is in line with the need to shape new policies within the framework of the EU ETS that prevent excessive low prices for carbon over extended periods of time.
- Evaluation of dynamic pass-through of carbon prices into electricity prices – a cointegrated VECM analysisPublication . Freitas, Carlos J. Pereira; Silva, Patrícia Pereira daThis paper addresses the impact of the CO2 opportunity cost on the wholesale electricity price in the context of the Iberian electricity market (MIBEL), namely on the Portuguese system, for the period corresponding to the Phase II of the European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS). In the econometric analysis a vector error correction model (VECM) is specified to estimate both long–run equilibrium relations and short–run interactions between the electricity price and the fuel (natural gas and coal) and carbon prices. The model is estimated using daily spot market prices and the four commodities prices are jointly modelled as endogenous variables. Moreover, a set of exogenous variables is incorporated in order to account for the electricity demand conditions (temperature) and the electricity generation mix (quantity of electricity traded according the technology used). The outcomes for the Portuguese electricity system suggest that the dynamic pass–through of carbon prices into electricity prices is strongly significant and a long–run elasticity was estimated (equilibrium relation) that is aligned with studies that have been conducted for other markets.