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Evaluation of MCP Correlation Algorithms Applied to Wind Data Series

datacite.subject.fosEngenharia e Tecnologia
datacite.subject.sdg09:Indústria, Inovação e Infraestruturas
dc.contributor.authorMoreira, A.
dc.contributor.authorRocha, T.
dc.contributor.authorMendonça, J.
dc.contributor.authorPilão, R.
dc.contributor.authorPinto, P.
dc.date.accessioned2025-02-17T19:09:40Z
dc.date.available2025-02-17T19:09:40Z
dc.date.issued2024-06-26
dc.description.abstractThis work aimed to develop methodologies for analysing statistical correlations among wind data series using various Measure-Correlate-Predict (MCP) methods, with the goal of selecting the most suitable method for extrapolating long-term data with minimal associated uncertainty. It was analysed the minimum time required for a wind measurement campaign when applying this methodology. Fifteen local wind measurement stations were selected. The long-term wind data reanalysis series that exhibited the strongest correlation with the measured wind data at each station was then chosen. Multiple tests were conducted with different simultaneous periods between the measured data series and the long-term series. Fifteen correlation algorithms were tested for each concurrent period. The performance of each model was evaluated using the RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) and MBE (Mean Bias Error) associated with each MCP. Analysis of the errors identified measurement periods with the lowest associated error ranging from 1 to 5 years and a single-factor ANOVA analysis was conducted. Finally, t-significance tests were performed. The study concluded that the Neural Network was the most effective MCP method. Additionally, it was determined that the minimum number of years required for a local measurement campaign should be between 2 and 3 years.eng
dc.identifier.citationMoreira, A., Rocha, T., Mendonça, J., Pilão, R. & Pinto, P. (2024, June 26-28) Evaluation of MCP Correlation Algorithms Applied to Wind Data Series [Paper presentation]. 22nd International Conference on Renewable Energies and Power Quality (ICREPQ´24), Bilbao, Spain. https://doi.org/10.52152/4060
dc.identifier.doi10.52152/4060
dc.identifier.issn2172-038X
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.22/29547
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherRenewable Energies & Power Quality Journal
dc.relationCenter for Innovation in Industrial Engineering and Technology
dc.relation.hasversionhttps://repqj.com/index.php/repqj/article/view/4060
dc.rights.uriN/A
dc.subjectMCP
dc.subjectcorrelation algorithms
dc.subjectlocal measurement station
dc.subjectwind regime
dc.subjectreanalysis data series
dc.titleEvaluation of MCP Correlation Algorithms Applied to Wind Data Serieseng
dc.typeconference paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleCenter for Innovation in Industrial Engineering and Technology
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB%2F04730%2F2020/PT
oaire.citation.conferenceDate2024-06-26
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceBilbao, Spain
oaire.citation.issue6
oaire.citation.title22nd International Conference on Renewable Energies and Power Quality (ICREPQ´24)
oaire.citation.volume22
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
relation.isProjectOfPublicationcdbfce2f-6ff0-4d59-a7c6-96c99d52a570
relation.isProjectOfPublication.latestForDiscoverycdbfce2f-6ff0-4d59-a7c6-96c99d52a570

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