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A decision-support system based on particle swarm optimization for multiperiod hedging in electricity markets

dc.contributor.authorAzevedo, Filipe
dc.contributor.authorVale, Zita
dc.contributor.authorOliveira, P. B. Moura
dc.date.accessioned2013-04-16T10:07:24Z
dc.date.available2013-04-16T10:07:24Z
dc.date.issued2007
dc.date.updated2013-04-12T10:24:14Z
dc.description.abstractThis paper proposes a particle swarm optimization (PSO) approach to support electricity producers for multiperiod optimal contract allocation. The producer risk preference is stated by a utility function (U) expressing the tradeoff between the expectation and variance of the return. Variance estimation and expected return are based on a forecasted scenario interval determined by a price range forecasting model developed by the authors. A certain confidence level is associated to each forecasted scenario interval. The proposed model makes use of contracts with physical (spot and forward) and financial (options) settlement. PSO performance was evaluated by comparing it with a genetic algorithm-based approach. This model can be used by producers in deregulated electricity markets but can easily be adapted to load serving entities and retailers. Moreover, it can easily be adapted to the use of other type of contracts.por
dc.identifier.doi10.1109/TPWRS.2007.901463pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn0885-8950
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.22/1340
dc.language.isoengpor
dc.publisherIEEEpor
dc.relation.ispartofseriesIEEE Transactions on Power Systems; Vol.22, Issue 3
dc.relation.publisherversionhttp://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpls/abs_all.jsp?arnumber=4282008por
dc.subjectContractspor
dc.subjectElectricity marketspor
dc.subjectGenetic algorithmspor
dc.subjectHedgingpor
dc.subjectParticle swarm optimizationpor
dc.subjectRisk managementpor
dc.titleA decision-support system based on particle swarm optimization for multiperiod hedging in electricity marketspor
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage1003por
oaire.citation.issueIssue 3
oaire.citation.startPage995por
oaire.citation.titleIEEE Transactions on Power Systems
oaire.citation.volumeVol.22
person.familyNameVale
person.givenNameZita
person.identifier632184
person.identifier.ciencia-id721B-B0EB-7141
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-4560-9544
person.identifier.ridA-5824-2012
person.identifier.scopus-author-id7004115775
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspor
rcaap.typearticlepor
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationff1df02d-0c0f-4db1-bf7d-78863a99420b
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryff1df02d-0c0f-4db1-bf7d-78863a99420b

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