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Macro modeling of electricity price towards SDG7

dc.contributor.authorMartins, Florinda
dc.contributor.authorFelgueiras, Carlos
dc.contributor.authorCaetano, Nídia
dc.date.accessioned2023-01-26T15:51:46Z
dc.date.available2023-01-26T15:51:46Z
dc.date.issued2022-05
dc.description.abstractEnergy challenges are crucial issues to achieve Sustainable Development and its goals. Energy availability and affordability are pillars for ending poverty, giving access to commodities as well as water, etc. Modern lives rely on appliances and gadgets based on electric energy being its price a key issue making it worth to analyze and promote simple models able to predict electric energy prices to support in decision-making processes and in management. This work studied the correlation of electricity price with variables such as the electricity mix, GDP (gross domestic product), energy productivity, electricity consumption per capita, fossil fuel reserves, and diesel price, using Spearman correlation. To the significant correlations found it was then applied the Kruskal–Wallis test and the variables that presented statistically significant differences were then considered to model electricity price based on these macro variables. Our findings revealed that the best models were a logarithmic and a linear model of energy productivity to predict electricity price, which is fundamental to achieve Sustainable Development Goals (SDG), specifically SDG7. In the validation process, these models presented an average deviation of 10.3% and 11.7%, respectively, which is reasonable considering the simplicity of the models developed.pt_PT
dc.description.sponsorshipThis work was financially supported by Base Funding – UIDB/04730/2020 of Center for Innovation in Engineering and Industrial Technology, CIETI – funded by national funds through the FCT/MCTES (PIDDAC), Portugal.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.egyr.2022.04.055pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.22/21917
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherElsevierpt_PT
dc.relationCenter for Innovation in Industrial Engineering and Technology
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722008204?via%3Dihubpt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectElectricity pricept_PT
dc.subjectEnergypt_PT
dc.subjectRegression modelspt_PT
dc.subjectSustainable development goalspt_PT
dc.titleMacro modeling of electricity price towards SDG7pt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleCenter for Innovation in Industrial Engineering and Technology
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB%2F04730%2F2020/PT
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceThe 8th International Conference on Energy and Environment Research ICEER 2021, 13–17 Septemberpt_PT
oaire.citation.endPage622pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage614pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleEnergy Reportspt_PT
oaire.citation.volume8pt_PT
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
person.familyNameMartins
person.familyNameFelgueiras
person.familyNameCaetano
person.givenNameF.
person.givenNameCarlos
person.givenNameNídia
person.identifierR-000-DJC
person.identifier.ciencia-idF112-AE32-9279
person.identifier.ciencia-id1F1D-73E2-BFBF
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-8866-1799
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-4202-5551
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-2185-6401
person.identifier.ridI-3934-2012
person.identifier.scopus-author-id55901684900
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublication1fbb67b0-e0f2-4541-aacc-d36da11446c5
relation.isAuthorOfPublication5caac062-e186-4a91-b76b-5a7ea3271b24
relation.isAuthorOfPublication4bbb44e7-228a-48fb-abc2-8df5e27d0b48
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery4bbb44e7-228a-48fb-abc2-8df5e27d0b48
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relation.isProjectOfPublication.latestForDiscoverycdbfce2f-6ff0-4d59-a7c6-96c99d52a570

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