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Abstract(s)
As centrais renováveis em regime especial, têm como principal problema a sua instabilidade de funcionamento e respetiva previsão da sua produção. Nesse sentido, torna-se muito complicado para o agente de mercado, que possua tais centrais, conseguir reduzir os seus desvios de forma a este poder ganhar dinheiro com elas. Posto isto, é de extrema relevância para o agente de mercado, poder ter formas de conseguir controlar os desvios. Uma dessas potenciais formas é a entrada por parte do agente de mercado no mercado de regulação. Para apurar o interesse nessa opção, nesta dissertação foi estudado o contexto atual em que esta temática se insere, tendo-se verificado qual a situação energética em Portugal, compreendendo o que foi acontecendo nos anos transatos a nível de energia renovável, o que é o mercado do MIBEL (Mercado ibérico de eletricidade), analisando a forma de como é realizada a troca de energia, e investigando o mercado de reserva de regulação, tendo assim uma noção do seu funcionamento. Para além deste estudo, foi apurado qual a situação da empresa acolhedora, a Energia Simples, de maneira a compreender, quais são os seus problemas e a ter acesso a informação sobre as suas centrais. Com as duas análises, foi desenvolvido uma metodologia para o agente de mercado para entrar no mercado de reserva de regulação. Para além disso, foi desenvolvido alguns cenários, que complementam a relação entre o agente de mercado, o produtor e a metodologia adotada. No final deste trabalho, foi concretizada uma análise à fiabilidade financeira para o agente, de forma a apurar a efetividade da metodologia adotada e perceber se é interessante para a empresa apostar neste mercado.
Renewable power plants under a special regime, have as main problem their operational instability and the respective forecast of their production. In this sense, it becomes very complicated for the market agent, who has such plants, to be able to reduce his deviations so that he can make money from them. That said, it is extremely important for the market agent to be able to have ways of controlling deviations. One of these potential forms is the market agent's entry into the regulation market. In order to determine the interest in this option, this dissertation studied the current context in which this theme is inserted, having verified the energy situation in Portugal, understanding what has been happening in the past years in terms of renewable energy, which is the market of MIBEL (Iberian electricity market), analyzing the way in which the energy exchange is carried out, and investigating the regulation reserve market, having a notion of its functioning. In addition to this study, it was analyzed the situation of the welcoming company, Energia Simples, to understand what problems are and to have access to information about its plants. With both analyzes, a methodology was developed for the market agent to enter the regulatory reserve market, and in addition, some scenarios were developed, which complement the relationship between the market agent, the producer and the methodology adopted. At the end of this work, an analysis of the financial reliability for the agent was carried out, in order to ascertain the effectiveness of the adopted methodology and understand if it is interesting for the company to bet on this market.
Renewable power plants under a special regime, have as main problem their operational instability and the respective forecast of their production. In this sense, it becomes very complicated for the market agent, who has such plants, to be able to reduce his deviations so that he can make money from them. That said, it is extremely important for the market agent to be able to have ways of controlling deviations. One of these potential forms is the market agent's entry into the regulation market. In order to determine the interest in this option, this dissertation studied the current context in which this theme is inserted, having verified the energy situation in Portugal, understanding what has been happening in the past years in terms of renewable energy, which is the market of MIBEL (Iberian electricity market), analyzing the way in which the energy exchange is carried out, and investigating the regulation reserve market, having a notion of its functioning. In addition to this study, it was analyzed the situation of the welcoming company, Energia Simples, to understand what problems are and to have access to information about its plants. With both analyzes, a methodology was developed for the market agent to enter the regulatory reserve market, and in addition, some scenarios were developed, which complement the relationship between the market agent, the producer and the methodology adopted. At the end of this work, an analysis of the financial reliability for the agent was carried out, in order to ascertain the effectiveness of the adopted methodology and understand if it is interesting for the company to bet on this market.
Description
Keywords
Previsão de energia renovável Mercado de reserva de regulação Desvios Renewable energy forecast Regulation reserve market Deviations